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Politics : Attack Iraq?

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who started this subject9/13/2002 4:26:16 PM
From: Elmer Flugum  Read Replies (1) of 8683
 
Iraq's arsenal

economist.com

The IISS's assessment, Nuclear/radiological

• Does not possess facilities to produce fissile material in sufficient amounts for nuclear weapons.

• Would require at least several years and extensive foreign assistance to build such fissile material production facilities.

• Could probably assemble nuclear weapons within months if fissile material from foreign sources were obtained.

• Current interest in radiological weapons unknown. Could divert domestic civil-use radio-isotopes or seek to obtain foreign material for a crude device.
Biological

• Probably retained substantial growth media and agents from pre-1991 stocks.

• Capable of resuming agent production on short notice (weeks) from existing facilities; could have produced thousands of litres of anthrax, botulinum toxin and other agents since 1998. Actual stocks unknown.

• Production of viral agents, possession of smallpox unknown.
Chemical

• Probably retained mustard and precursors for a few hundred tonnes of sarin/cyclosarin; perhaps similar amount of VX from pre-1991 stocks.

• Capable of resuming production on short notice (months) from existing civilian facilities; could have produced hundreds of tonnes of agent (mustard and nerve agents) since 1998. Actual stocks unknown.
Delivery means

• Probably retained a small force of 650km (400 mile) range al-Husseinmissiles, perhaps around 12 missiles.

• Lacks facilities to produce long-range missiles, would require several years and extensive foreign assistance to construct such facilities.

• May have produced some al-Samoud missiles, with ranges up to 200km.

• Capable of manufacturing rudimentary chemical and biological warheads.

• Capable of converting civilian vehicles to mobile launchers.

• Capable of delivering biological weapons with simple airborne wet-spray devices; development of more advanced devices for wet spray or dry agents unknown.
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