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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU)
LU 2.625+2.9%Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: scratchmyback who wrote (20787)9/13/2002 8:15:45 PM
From: sylvester80   of 21876
 
Sprint lowered subscriber growth by half. With more than half of their revenues of Lucent and Nortel from wireless, wireless cap ex declines is the next show to drop. That is the reason for the warning as well as Nortel's one. The current equipment that Sprint, Verizon, Cingular etc... already have in the field, are more than enough to support the 50% declining growth. In fact, the way this growth is declining, -50% last quarter and again -50% this quarter, I expect the wireless companies see the writing on the wall that by the next 2 quarters there will be very little new subscriber growth and each one would try to steal the same customers for each other (which means margin and price pressures). This is already happening with T-mobile and their 3000 anytime minutes for 49.95. No way anybody is making money with plans like that. And T-mobile is offering this plan to get new subscribers even though they are losing almost 50% on the deal. Things are about to get even worse folks. Telecom bottom has not yet been reached. Not by a long shot. In fact it is getting worse.

JMHO.
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