Which Retail Sales Data Is Right?? Saturday September 14, 7:16 am ET
[ The following is an excerpt]
Reuters Business Report By Angela Moore
NEW YORK (Reuters) -" Is somebody out there using fuzzy math?
Retail sales figures for August released on Friday by the U.S. Commerce Department painted a picture of an economy being lifted by consumer spending. But, just last week, retail companies issued same-store sales data, also for August, that were weak and seemed to contradict the government data.
The disparity left market watchers scratching their heads this morning -- especially when placing bets their on how the stock market would react.
Retail sales figures measured by the government rose 0.8 percent in August, down from increases of 1.1 percent in July and 1.4 percent in June, the Commerce Department said . To economists, the data signal the consumer sector -- which drives two-thirds of economic growth -- is still thriving even as the rest of the economy struggles.
The bullish mood, however, seems at odds with many retailers who have posted dismal same-store sales, frequently below expectations, and warning of a disappointing second half. Lehman Brothers softline retail index, which measures same-store sales, was down 1.4 percent in August ."
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