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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: 4figureau who wrote (6697)9/18/2002 2:30:47 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 89467
 
unexpected fallout from minor ease of Iraqi tensions
money might exit the longstanding haven in the USDollar

we saw today and yesterday that US Banks are more important perhaps than Iraqi threats

I think restricted oil shipments are every bit as important as faltering banking system
I have been harping on JPMorgan DISINTEGRATION issues since February, much to the nausea of Voltaire Devotees
never did I say JPMorgo will go quickly into the night
this will be a multi-staged walking of the plank
I expect several critical junctures where JPM will leak money fatally
it is beginning

the deadcat bounce off 18 to 26 in August was a fool's rally
now comes the retest
it just might get stuck at 18-22, which is a horrible fate
they will fail to meet capital requirements on their derivative book

one thing is for sure regarding GOLD visavis JPM
when gold explodes, almost no association will be attributed to the banking sector
it will be a particular commodity market
or Brazil defaulting on humongous $B's in debt
or S&P coming down below 7500
or MortBacked Securities reversing to hurt Treasurys
these are all linked via derivative (futures contracts)
Buffet labels them as "financial sewage" very appropriately

to JPM and Gold Cartel soon: oops, you die
/ jim
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