In late september 1989 nobody saw the Berlin wall coming down, either .... but 9 november, there they were prying chunks out of the Brandenburg gate with crowbars and swiss army knives ... a friend here uses a little piece of concrete block as a paperweight, his nephew was there, got several blocks complete with mortar, sawed them up carefully later and sent bits to canadian and downunder relatives, along with fotos ... there is a famous picture online, he may be in it, can't be sure though as if so it is only the back of his head, but he thinks he recognises faces
We cannot know about Cuba .... imagine if the US declared victory, to save face following forty-two years of ignominious defeat, el Caudillo having outlasted what, ten of their presidents or so, lol, and announced a unilateral declaration of peace, removing all the stupidities of restrictions against their subjects, and then - they start up a black ops project to slip college students a few hundred bucks each to go have their spring vacation on the island .... ever hear about Fort Lauderdale in the old days? ... they go to Cancún a lot nowadays, stories out of there are legend as far west as our village under the mango trees, since locals go to C to work sometimes, they come back with their minds rotted out, they have seen Paree and you can no longer keep them down on the socialist workers' paraíso of the collective farm, sex drugs 'n rock 'n roll have done what guns could never do
Cuba will go poof and change in a flash one day, you just watch .... almost certainly Castro will have to die to permit this, if he goes naturally then change has a chance of going peacefully, if he gets offed by the Miami mob then look out it could get quite ugly ... the question of the day [and it will happen in one day, one weekend perhaps], will be - what now .... i believe the most responsible approach the rest of the world should take is, let cubanos decide ... not ex-cubanos, not the old mafiosos or any new aspiring mafiosos, but resident cubano citizenry .... however, there will be those among the powers that be who wax nostalgic for mutilating villagers in Nicaragua, and who will see the place as the Antilles of the Perle
I've often thought the subject of political risk in mining, or for any other pursuit for that matter, would make a sizable and challenging theme for a thread all on its own ..... which is the greater danger to the speculator, guerrilla war in Angola or preemptive confiscation by the BC NDP, this could be one of the unanswerable yet intriguing questions ... i should think a silver mine in Fidelstan would have a better crack at success than one within SUV range of San José in Alta California, for instance .... look at all the puppies we discuss here that are affected by political risk - suf, man, kry, all the BC plays, dmw [speaking of Angola, and btw peace is also breaking out quite fully in Sierra Leone], etc
' Venezuelan Tanks Moved To Planned Site Of Protest - Radio Friday September 20, 2:24 pm ET
CARACAS (Dow Jones)-Venezuela's government moved two tanks and several armored vehicles to La Carlotta air base Friday afternoon, forcing the Solidarity Force opposition protesters to move a planned 3:00 P.M. (1900GMT) gathering to a nearby location, local Union Radio reported.
The government move followed the arrest Thursday of the group's leader, Alejandro Pena, who placed an advertisement in local newspapers last week asking the military to help oust President Hugo Chavez.
La Carlota airbase was one of eight areas around the capital city declared " Secure Zones" in a presidential decree published in Thursday's Official Gazette.
The zones, access to which are now restricted, include the areas surrounding the state-run Channel Eight television station, the National Radio station, and other strategic locations.
Opposition leaders have complained the government is cracking down on dissenters.
Chavez has said he won't allow a repeat of Apr. 11 events which led to his brief ouster before he was reinstated two days later by loyalist troops.
But the CTV federation of labor unions, which groups about 1 million public sector workers, or about 10% of Venezuela's workforce, has said it's planning a major shutdown demanding Chavez's resignation.
Carlos Ortega, the CTV's president, has said Chavez is to blame for Venezuela's current crisis, marked by a 7.1% economic contraction amid 18% unemployment and 25% annualized inflation sparked by a currency that has devalued more than 46% against the dollar this year.
The CTV has said it will announce by Oct. 7 a date for the strike, which the country's biggest business chamber, Fedecamaras, has also said it will likely join.
-By Jehan Senaratna, Dow Jones Newswires;58212 564 1339; jehan.senaratna@dowjones.com '
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