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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED
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To: stockman_scott who wrote (55265)9/20/2002 10:52:19 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) of 65232
 
From: Zeev Hed Friday, Sep 20, 2002 10:43 PM

Hi Claude, long time no see and welcome to the I-hub thread. I still hold to the position that we are in a long secular bear market (see this post from April 2000- #reply-13483082, I have since halved the down target for the Naz, mind you) in which over a long period of time earnings are going to catch up with valuations, and we will end with a lengthy period of under valuation, like in the summer of 1982. Within this bear market I see cyclical bear markets followed by cyclical bull markets, and within each cyclical bear, few counter trend rallies which I try to exploit. Right here, I think we are at the tail end of the first some would say the second) cyclical bear and I expect a cyclical bull market lasting perhaps as long as mid to late 2004, no clear yet on the exact timing.
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