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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: KLP who wrote (46136)	9/22/2002 12:02:02 PM
From: aladin	Read Replies (1) of 281500

KLP, If nukes happen, we are all toast. Don't be ridiculous. The world won't end, the sky won't fall and the ozone layer won't implode if Saddam or anyone uses a nuke in the ME. We are not talking about the Soviet Union vs USA circa the cold war. At most maybe 600 tactical weapons held by all parties in the ME theatre. The noble EU (via France) has open-air tested more mega-tonnage over the last 30 years by itself. Worst case scenario: At most one or two western targets (probably NY and London or Washington) hit with suitcase or ship bombs. Or a bio strike on US/UK of similar magnitude. Again worst case would be 6-8 million dead here (then the gloves of civilization come off and the ME and other terror states ARE wiped-out). More likely scenario: Regional nuke war with Israel nuking most of the Arab world into the stone age in retaliation for an Iraqi bio or nuke strike on Israel. Most likely scenario: Saddam takes a powder and there is no war at all (or gets shot by one of his own looking over their 'future'). John

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