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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)
AMAT 318.72-2.0%3:59 PM EST

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To: Kirk © who wrote (3254)9/26/2002 12:56:19 AM
From: Mark Marcellus  Read Replies (2) of 25522
 
My question was "how do you value them?" or "What formula do you use"?

And my answer was "ROIC", essentially return on book value + debt.

FWIW, here's what I get for MSFT & AMAT:

2001 2000 1999 1998 1997
AMAT: 9.77% 32.65% 17.16% 6.31% 15.97%
MSFT: 16.57% 26.99% 34.55% 32.77% 39.06%

AMAT's ROIC numbers are exceptional for their sector, but
they're never going to be able to consistently put
up better ROIC numbers than a company like MSFT (or Coke).

IMO, ROIC numbers over a number of years are the best
indicator of a company's investment quality for a long term
investor.
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