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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: JohnM who wrote (47485)9/27/2002 2:28:23 PM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
. I look forward to seeing if I agree.


I have read that Pollock, while a CIA analyst, predicted Saddam's invasion of Kuwait and it was rejected as something no reasonable man would do. This same thing has come up time after time in Intelligence work. Foreign Countries don't follow the "Reasonable Man" path. They take actions that make no sense to us. The '73 invasion by Sadat was another good example. Argentina's feckless Falklands adventure. China could invade Taiwan even though it would be a bad move for them. Atomic War between India and Pakistan. "One dumb thing after another" is the History of the World.
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