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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: Math Junkie who wrote (16802)10/4/2002 2:54:47 PM
From: Tim Bagwell  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
So in late 2000 Bob finally sees the bear market forming. What does he do?

He immediately bets a large portion of the farm on a CTR at the beginning of the downtrend when the risk is highest. Then, in the face of failure he leaves the trade on indefinitely. Never to offer any additional material advice about it.

Do you realize that to this day, Bob has never officially ended the trade? It's embarrassing and of course it's old news but for months after the initial trade he also let it stand. So anyone who thought they were getting a great position on a predicted CTR was still under the buy recommendation.

We know now that it was a debacle. The trade is a long term loser with no effort ever being made to stop the losses. Even when the market finally bottoms and the bull takes over, the QQQ trade will be a long term loser. The reality is that it will never recover. The opportunity costs that were lost are huge.

Forget that his trade failed. Every trader has losers. But to take no action whatsoever is abandonment. It's an indication of how he handles being wrong. It's astonishing to see in someone who portends to know better.
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