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Strategies & Market Trends : Galapagos Islands

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To: Oral Roberts who wrote (5579)	10/8/2002 1:34:33 PM
From: MulhollandDrive	Read Replies (1) of 57110

contraryinvestor.com The public have been net buyers all the way down. Institutional plan sponsors have been buying (adjusting asset allocations) all the way down. And the foreign community has so far been a net buyer of US equities all the way down. Although our contrarian instincts compel us to at least question the negativity around us, we hesitate in acting out any of our contrarian fantasies of the moment for one very simple reason - no one has sold. Unless this time is truly different in the annals of human behavior, every equity bear market of the magnitude we are experiencing has not ended prior to capitulative selling on the part of multiple investor constituencies. Given recent action in domestic equity mutual funds, we'd suggest that this is a very critical juncture in the relationship between the public and the equity markets. A juncture that demands weighing current contrarian instincts against supply and demand fact of the moment. not sure the answer to the csco volume...the biggest sell off i remember of csco came in dec of 2000. <edit> january 01??? 01/10/2001 213,053,300

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