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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: jim_p who wrote (13750)10/9/2002 2:07:10 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (2) of 206326
 
Low current valuation of EP - is it possible that the current low price is not an over reaction to FERC and California, but a liquidity / risk -aversion problem ?

Look at the over reaction in Ultilities to the AYE credit problem.

To you get the feeling that NO ONE (or no fund manager) wants to take ANY downside risk -
why ? maybe because there is no upside ?

If the risk aversion view is correct, two things will happen -

1) We will see MORE SCREAMING BARGINS like EP.
2) EP will SLOWLY and hesitantly return to something closer to true value- maybe by January or May

If the risk aversion view is wrong, EP should move up most of the way back i one -two months, and it is unlikely we will see bargins like EP again this year.
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