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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: jcky who wrote (52723)10/17/2002 5:56:59 PM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Re. MAD and deterrence or Iraq. Seems to me for deterrence to work both sides must recognize a nuclear war would be a disaster and have a high desire to avoid that disaster.

Prior to the start of the Gulf War, Saddam faced a powerful military coalition dedicated to removing his troops from Kuwait. He had no allies, no hope of winning the war, and knew that the coming war would be disastrous for his country. We know now his own intelligence advisor had told him so. UN and Russian and other diplomats tried to give him a face-saving way for him to withdraw and avoid the war. Yet he chose disaster. I find it hard to believe he'd be any more reasonable when he eventually possesses nuclear weapons.
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