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Technology Stocks : eBay - Superb Internet Business Model
EBAY 94.41+1.2%3:59 PM EST

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To: AJ Berger who wrote (7074)10/21/2002 10:53:03 PM
From: AJ Berger  Read Replies (1) of 7772
 
Longs should be careful here

ebaY has had a nice $10 run in
less than 2 weeks. this is not
sustainable, even if this bear
run continues a few days longer.
The past few days of this two
week run I have noticed a lack
of short covering closes. This
tells me that despite the loud
shorts filling other threads,
this stock is not actually in
a heavy short position, or the
remaining shorts are determined
to hold their ground. Either
way, new buyers will dry up now,
and only sellers and confident
shorts will remain.
It should be noted that we short
here into ebaY strongest quarter
so while I believe we will go
lower, we may not drop as much
as we did a few weeks ago.
Those expecting to short down
to $45 may be dissappointed.
My strategy would be to move
with the indexes, while keeping
and eye on retail and .com's
for some guidence as to what
bias ebaY might trade. Today
retailers and .coms did not
join in the rally, which tells
me we are getting close to a
top for ebaY. Because of these
observations, I sold my long
position, and went short into
the close. Good luck trading.
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