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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: jcky who wrote (53671)	10/22/2002 10:04:59 AM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) of 281500

I'm presently reading the post-Gulf War history, 1991-1996, and I'm afraid it confirms everything I had thought. Saddam clearly must go. If Saddam's plot to assassinate Geo. H.W. Bush had succeeded, would there be any reason to think that it was not a cassus bellum? Pollack describes an instance during the '91-'96 period when Saddam moved his troops to Southern Iraq into positions from which he could have easily re-invaded Kuwait. According to Pollack, Saddam's intentions at the time have not been determined, and it is possible that he actually intended to re-invade Kuwait. At the time, our ground forces were insufficient to deter him. It was only after a hard air hammering that he desisted. I had forgottten about the incident, which was not heavily publicized. In any event, Saddam's pattern is to test, test, and test again. He has not given up his dream of becoming the ME hegemon in charge of the bulk of the world's oil supplies. To those who say "But what about post-Iraq?", I say "Which do you prefer? Oil at $75 a bbl or another failed ME state?"

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