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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: marginmike who wrote (57763)10/25/2002 3:50:08 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) of 209892
 
<Distribution> A more pointed answer to your question...

I reckon when/if big money was buying this....it would resemble a "3", impulsive etc....

Smart money has made money off of this from the bottom '(forcing shorts to cover)- but not necessarily big money...smart money sees all those gaps on the chart and worries...smart money would almost prefer a pullback to fill those...

This low volume, small bearish divergences while no price gain week.....intuitively, that tells me its the guys who made 20-30% in 2 weeks saying, "lets keep this up, distribute, and reup after a retrace"...same old, same old..

As a result, i could see it grind higher (more distribution to bagholders), but an explosion up from here (given stochastics, charts) seems unlikely, and is a modest bear bet I'm willing to make here. As you know, I am often a little bit early, but I can't use that as my moniker (already taken)

The points you mention, plus the election (a little) do bother me...but I find the above-listed points stronger..

Man, I am long-winded or what g,ng
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