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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: marginmike who wrote (57820)10/26/2002 12:52:59 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (2) of 209892
 
If you can count this Jell-O you're a better man than I mm.-g

Firstly it should be noted that flats rarely appear in the '2' position so I would strongly suggest you look at it as a 'b' wave that we are in and there would be one more leg up (or several if its a large triangle or something.)

Secondly in terms of the wiggles, I believe we have been in a complex correction (likely a flat, and probably an expanded one) since Oct 15th and it has been almost uncountable IMO. But I do not think we have seen the 'c' down in that flat yet. Sure would go nicely with the H&S I see in the NDX, SPX, and DOW which have formed over the last 5 days.

I do believe there will be a buying opportunity early next week. But as for the next rise, there is major resistance at SPX 920, COMP 1350, DOW 8720 and I have those areas as tops for this move. If those get taken out convincingly, we are heading to the August highs at least.

I am not looking for 5 waves up here. I don't think our bottom was so great. On the sentiment front, we saw yesterday that the VIX has not forgotten how to melt and any up will accelerate that melt, I felt yesterday was an important day for the VIX as we finally saw its stickiness subside. Lets not forget that we got a 20% decline in the SPX from a VIX reading of 31, and we ain't that far now.

I am short the NQ and own puts on the DOW going into next week. It will be a wiggle trade and I sense I will be long by mid-week.
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