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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners

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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (14582)	10/30/2002 3:50:55 AM
From: XBrit	Read Replies (1) of 57684

I just saw this in Wednesday's Financial Times. I'm not sure if there are any money-making trading ideas here, but it's an interesting perspective. ======== Lex: Enterprise software Published: October 29 2002 20:24 America's enterprise software industry urgently requires rationalisation. Demand has collapsed. What little customers are spending is going to large vendors, leaving the plight of mid-sized software groups grim. New licence revenue has evaporated, and cash balances are dissipating. Many companies have seen their shares fall more than 98 per cent and have had to do reverse splits to avoid delisting. A few are even trading below their cash value. In such circumstances, the industry should be buzzing with mergers and acquisitions. But so far this year, the value of software deals has been just $7.1bn compared with a peak of nearly $150bn in 2000. The problem is not an absence of buyers but a shortage of sellers. Top executives remain focused on cutting costs, waiting for an industry-wide upturn and developing the latest version of the software they hope will save their company. They are in denial. There is no reason for corporate America to increase its spend on technology, and an ever smaller proportion of what is spent will go to software companies whose viability is in doubt. It is time for non-executive directors to seize the initiative and prevent top management destroying further value. They should either close down the company and return the cash to shareholders or find a buyer. Either way, these companies should be put out of their misery, consigned to history as anomalies of the technology boom of the 1990s.

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