The Residential Real Estate Crash Index Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (6497)	11/3/2002 8:13:01 PM
From: reaper	Read Replies (1) of 306849

Spek, if i can defend/clarify my position for a moment here... one, i don't have a 2% prediction for the 10-year; the prediction is a 2-handle, i.e. 2.xxx. with that detail out of the way... IMO the notions of 2.xxx 10-year rates and a continued strong housing market are mutually exclusive. in fact, my rate prediction is premised on a deflationary debt/asset collapse; i.e. it would be the wreck of the housing market that CAUSES the trip for the 10-year to reach a 2-handle. on the other hand, no housing market wreck, then no sustained debt/asset deflation, and if anything rates rise from here. one man's opinion only, of course. Cheers

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