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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH
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To: Skywatcher who wrote (314079)11/4/2002 2:18:19 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) of 769670
 
Re: "Cohen's proposal would see Iraq's oil industry split up into three large companies, along the areas of ethnic separation, with one company in the largely Shia south, another for the Sunni region around Baghdad, and the last in the Kurdish north."

>>> Just as everyone has already thought. Turkey, though, is really going to HATE this... because it foreshadows the disintegration of Iraq along ethnic lines, the emergence of a Kurdish nation, and an Iranian-influenced region in the Shia south of Iraq (something the Saudis are also going to HATE).

>>> Turkey has publicly threatened to go to war if the Kurds declare an independent nation... so I expect that will happen gradually: First they grab oil fields, second they negotiate a high level of autonomy from the post-Saddam powerless Iraqi government, lastly they use some pretext to declare officially the first Kurdish nation in history.
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