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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (8783)11/4/2002 4:41:49 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 89467
 
earnings will be kept from further erosion by layoffs
which will undermine consumer spending
which will undermine housing demand and prices
which will undermine equity extraction REFI's
which will undermine consumer spending further
which will undermine earnings
which will undermine labor further

which will lead to yet lower interest rates
which beget lower rates

a big fallacy has been widely accepted
lower rates reduce consumer spending, NOT INCREASE IT
twice as much interest income is received, as compared to mortgage interest paid out
lower rates mean consumers have less money to spend, not more
this policy appeals to the debt-ridden debt-suffocated crowd

in 2001 we saw $1100B interest income, $600B interest paid

LOWER INTEREST RATES BEGET YET LOWER INTEREST RATES !!!

bankrupt idiotic economic policy will kill this economy
just like Japan
policy is driven by patheticly poor comprehension of economic principles
starting at the top, the Federal Reserve

recently GreenScheiss claimed that strength in productivity will enable the economy to recover
which means he fails to learn from the 1997-2001 lesson

higher productivity has resulted in lower prices paid
NOT greater profitability
GreenMonkey fails once more, even after lessons pointed out

put together the failure on rate downward momentum and renewed layoffs, and you have a prescription for a deep recession upcoming
the key is the effect on housing prices
delinquency and default will keep the REFI fully bound

/ jim
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