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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 298.01-0.5%Dec 15 4:00 PM EST

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To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (6712)11/5/2002 10:02:00 AM
From: Alastair McIntosh  Read Replies (1) of 95580
 
Sarmad, I think that AMAT's layoffs are signalling that IC sales growth will not soon recover. Of course there will be savings but $176,000 per person per year seems high. On the other hand I think that projected IC sales for 2004 are too high. Also don't forget the costs of layoffs and the costs of hiring and retraining when demand comes back. I'm sure that AMAT feels that an increase in demand if far enough in the future to absorb these costs.

I also agree that the market is reacting in a stupid fashion. On any rational basis AMAT should be trading for no more than $10 share.
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