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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: T L Comiskey who wrote (8934)11/7/2002 10:34:47 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) of 89467
 
neither lower rates nor money injections stop deflation
this is a major misconception now
it only slows the speed of the contraction
and further distorts every imbalance within the economy
why?
because neither lower rates nor money injections remove debt on balance sheets
they help to pay them down, but not eliminate them
they make some debt cheaper to service

so until the Fed invents a way of cleansing 150 million household balance sheets, 5 million corporate balance sheets, and the federal balance sheet....

DONT MATTAH

in the last few days I finally began to hear some astute arguments that lower rates are hurting fixed income earners who have saved all their lives
maybe soon the press/media will conclude that lower rates reduce consumer spending
$1100B interest income, $600B interest payments in 2001

today the bank sector was downgraded by a major brokerage
they cited reduced profit margins from lower rates
this is what I refer to
lower rates hurt the entire economy, forcing it to contract and shrink further
the incompetent economic policymakers will now repeat the Japan error and reduce rates further, until ZERO
but not in USA, it will be until at the CRITICAL BASE where foreigners say ENOUGH, OUTTAHERE
then we have a bond crisis coupled with dollar crisis

lower rates beget still lower rates
the Fed was forced into this decision politically
it is not as though they can regret it
such policy has worked for 30 years
but it fails when debts and overcapacity hang over the market like a two-ton blanklet, as in NOW

by late winter and spring, it will be evident that the economy still is not in recovery, languishing and stuck in a stall
Christmas retail sales will be a killer

/ jim
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