Where America has elected to go, no one will follow : The mid-term results show the stark contrast between the US and Europe
"Corporate power, instead of being shamed by its recent crimes, can be expected to advance. This is the Republican way, which America has now undeniably endorsed. A truism often heard is that what happens in California today will quickly reach New York."
Hugo Young Thursday November 7, 2002 guardian.co.uk The Guardian As incumbents, the
The following is an excerpt:
"Republicans raised more money than the Democrats. To an extent, they bought their victories. These were, in any case, local not national. Bush faced a party, moreover, that was singularly inept. Ever since Al Gore lost the election the people had really given him in 2000, he failed to perform like an opposition leader. There was no opposition leader. Bush, the heroic riser to the challenge of 9/11, had nobody to match him, round whom the country could gather to express its discontent with an economy that is failing, not to mention the corporate scandals that taint the presidency itself. All this can be used to explain away the election result as something less than a decisive choice with enduring consequences.
But that is not persuasive. Even if the process was messy, the outcome is unambiguous. Now that he controls all the political institutions - House, Senate, White House - Bush can move to infiltrate the judiciary. Dozens of conservative federal judges with lifetime tenure await confirmation they can now expect to get. This will permanently reorient constitutional trends. The slashing of forests and the drilling of wilderness, by timber and oil interests newly let loose, will be still less reversible. The rich men's tax cuts of 2001 will be secured against revision, and other tax cuts added. The 40 million Americans without health insurance can expect to remain that way. Axioms of inequality will be engraved deeper into the pillars of American society.
None of these preferences has much appeal to many Europeans, and the best exemplar of this is not German social democracy but British conservatism. The Republicans confirm themselves as a role model the Tories cannot follow. This should have been apparent as long ago as the Thatcher era, when the state's share of gross domestic product remained stubbornly unchanged. The high priestess herself had difficulty making Britain into a low-tax society, and was eventually frustrated by popular demand. This has not gone away.
After the Budget last April, when ICM polled voters on Chancellor Brown's tax rises, 76% approved them. More tellingly for any British politician hoping for a rightist resurgence on the back of a Bush-like philosophy, no fewer than 54% of Conservatives thought Brown had done the right thing.
The mid-term elections, therefore, lock the America-Europe divide more firmly into place. They define a society, more starkly than at any time in 50 years, that's trending in a different direction. Far from telling the benighted Tories how to win, they show what IDS's successor will have to avoid if he's to make a rendezvous with the dominant instincts of British society. From east to west, in several unexpected places, sometimes marginally but always decisively, American voters have made a statement that separates them from most other mature societies.
How this plays out on the international scene is now the question. It may not alter much in the existing prognosis for Iraq. The American stance was already bi-partisan in its rigour. Democrats agreed with Republicans, which was one of the problems they faced in fighting the heroic national leader. Bush's patience in going through the UN process operated in parallel with his willingness to go to war, and this will not change. But neither will the arguments on the other side. The mandate Bush has secured from his own people does have its limits. It may increase his confidence, but doesn't make unilateralism over Iraq any easier an option.
This was the week, however, when the US declared itself a different country. That's what will leave a historic mark. The capture of the Senate makes possible the advance of materialistic individualism on many fronts. State and community are in retreat. Corporate power, instead of being shamed by its recent crimes, can be expected to advance. This is the Republican way, which America has now undeniably endorsed. A truism often heard is that what happens in California today will quickly reach New York. Its sub-clause says that the political economy of the US will sooner or later make its way east to Europe. The 21st century is beginning quite differently. "
h.young@guardian.co.uk
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