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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: LindyBill who wrote (56333)11/9/2002 11:56:01 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Hi LindyBill; Re: "The Weekly Standard thinks we caved."

I don't think it's an accident that the UN resolution agreement came so soon after the election.

Bilow, Monday November 4, 2002
I could be wrong about the timing of the reduction in administration pressure for war with Iraq (that is, maybe the administration will resume pressure after the elections). But putting together a coalition to attack Iraq is still impossible (and even more impossible now that the Turks have voted in an Islamic government), so there will be no war no matter what the Bush administration says.

We should know whether the pressure is on again for a war with Iraq within a week after the election, I would think. And eventually it will be obvious to all that the threat of war has passed. But as with all things, different people will figure it out at different times.
#reply-18190846

If it is true that the US did "cave" (and I think it is, depending on what the word "cave" means), then the only obvious explanations for it are:

(1) the Bush administration was stupid in its dealings with the UN or

(2) the Bush administration was crafty in its stirring up the war fever just before a US election.

Like I said long ago, my answer is (2).

But it is a fact that Saddam is a man, and therefore mortal, and that therefore someday his regime will end. Maybe it will end before then, dictatorships are not stable forever.

-- Carl
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