Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Moominoid who wrote (25285)	11/11/2002 1:28:24 AM
From: LLCF	Read Replies (1) of 74559

<Unless you believe that the long-term rate of return on capital is zero or negative as implied by Jay in a recnt post. > As it turned out and many pundents had warned this turned [especially here and CFZ] out to pretty much be the case for those piling into the tech revolution. Of course it's the way things work that make it 'appear' that there is all sorts of 'science' involved: <<Amassing great wealth is gradual, like the gathering of a theater crowd. Its dispersal is sudden, like that same crowd departing. Wealth's nature is to be unenduring. Upon acquiring it, do that which is enduring right away.>> -Tirukkural 34: 332-333 None of the models could predict the Japanese situation... too many sigmas. I suspect we are on the cusp of a similar sigma situation with the $US... or you could just realize that that the number nor size of little slots in the roulette wheel are neither known, stable, or worth describing. Throw wheel out window and open eyes. DAK

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