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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: ild who wrote (205926)11/20/2002 4:44:16 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (2) of 436258
 
Liquidity Update – November 20, 2002

Corporate buying has slowed the past two days, other than the big AXP buyback Monday. On the other hand, the new offering calendar probably peaked for the week, given that Thanksgiving is fast approaching and underwriters might want to want until the week after. Starting the week after Thanksgiving, underwriters will have a short three week window through Christmas week to push out the door as much as they can at between 3% and 7%. How many new shares get sold through this year end could make the difference between survival or not for many an investment banker -- individuals, not firms.

US equity funds had an estimated $1.3 billion outflow on Tuesday, which followed a 0.9% decline in average NAVs. That outflow was larger than the previous inflows that followed bigger market gains. That says that individuals still do no believe, meaning that this rally can last longer -- as long as new offerings don't come out of the woodwork and swamp the market.

MUTUAL FUNDS FLOW FOR NOVEMBER 19, 2002

ALL EQUITY MUTUAL FUNDS: OUTFLOW -$2.6 BLN; NAV DOWN 0.6%

US

FLOW: OUTFLOW $1.3 Bln
BREADTH: NEGATIVE 44 OUT VERSUS 11 IN
NAV: DOWN 0.6%

INT'L

FLOW: OUTFLOW $1.3 Bln
BREADTH: NEGATIVE 28 OUT VERSUS 2 IN
NAV: DOWN 0.7%

BONDS & HYBRID: INFLOW $0.6 BLN; NAV UP 0.10%

L1: NET FLOAT ON NOVEMBER 19 $988 MLN
NEW ANNOUNCED CASH TAKEOVERS: $0 MLN
COMPLETED CASH TAKEOVERS: $0 MLN
NEW STOCK BUYBACKS $252 MLN
NEW OFFERINGS: $1040 MLN
INSIDER SELLING $200 MLN

L2: US EQUITY FUND FLOW $-1267 MLN
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