Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch Message Board

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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: westpacific who wrote (9782)	11/24/2002 12:27:57 PM
From: westpacific	Read Replies (2) of 89467

Bear Market Rally is all this is - why, read on! Many are comparing this H&S to the one we had in 1974! In 1974 consumer confidence was exploding into 1976 - from 40 to top out at 105 in 1976. 2003 the cc in a decline still, 140 in 2000 to 70ish at present! Key will be to watch the CC data! In 1974 the GDP to Debt ratio was 120%, it is now at 300%! In 1974 the S&P data was: PE/Div.Y/Price to Book/Bond Y 7.5/5.1%/1.07/6.5%!!!!!!!! In 2003 the S&P data is: 34to50/1.7%/6.70/2.5% In 1974 the Yield spiked to almost 6%..... In 1974 the FED Funds Rate was 10.51!!!! - we know it was not 1.25!!! -In 1973 it was 8.74 -In 1975 it was 5.82 -In 1976 it was 5.05

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