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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: Steve Lee who wrote (15209)12/2/2002 12:35:06 PM
From: GraceZ  Read Replies (2) of 19219
 
I think you are very likely correct. What is the lesson? Don't trade?

Yes. If you trade you are on the side of negative expected return. The market maker has the other side which is positive expected return. There are numerous reasons for this. A trader can operate on the side of positive expected return but it mostly involves turning yourself into something like a trading program. I'd rather drive a truck.

The only way the public can be on the side of positive expected return is to hold rather than trade. This doesn't mean you always have to be in the market. Certainly capital preservation is an extremely important element to building wealth. There are times when an investor should not be involved in the market and should be sitting in cash.
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