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Strategies & Market Trends : P&S and STO Death Blow's
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To: Jeff who started this subject12/5/2002 6:37:45 PM
From: exp  Read Replies (3) of 30712
 
Nice data on COMP/NDX/SPX/SOX rallies:
"Comparison junkies, this is for you. For each of 3 rallies on 4 indexes, the table lists the starting low, the first top high, the following retrace low, the second top high, the number of days between the first and second tops, the size of the rally in % for each top and the % retrace that followed the first top.

For Oct 2002 I listed the low and the 12/2 high.

The rallies have been getting bigger and the retraces smaller. 

                                    days rally rally  ret-
                    retrace         btwn % to  % to   race
      low     top1    low     top2  tops top1  top2    %
COMP
 5/00 3042.66 4289.06 3521.14 4259.87 34 41.0% 40.0% 61.6%  
 4/01 1619.58 2328.05 2077.98 2264.58 11 43.7% 39.8% 35.3%  
 9/01 1387.06 2065.69 1918.50 2098.88 22 48.9% 51.3% 21.7%  
10/02 1108.49 1521.44                    37.3%   
 
NDX         
 5/00 2897.27 4089.04 3341.83 4147.19 34 41.1% 43.1% 62.7%  
 4/01 1348.52 2070.61 1768.98 1963.83 11 53.5% 45.6% 41.8%  
 9/01 1088.96 1734.58 1557.18 1710.23 22 59.3% 57.1% 27.5%  
10/02  795.25 1155.68                    45.3%   
 
SPX         
 5/00 1361.09 1517.32 1413.89 1530.09 34 11.5% 12.4% 66.2%  
 4/01 1081.19 1315.93 1245.96 1286.62  9 21.7% 19.0% 29.8%  
 9/01  944.75 1173.62 1114.53 1176.97 21 24.2% 24.6% 25.8%  
10/02  768.63 954.28                     24.2% 
  
SOX         
 5/00  821.58 1280.84  880.45 1175.15 34 55.9% 43.0% 87.2%  
 4/01  453.85  710.78 578.4    697.04 11 56.6% 53.6% 51.5%  
 9/01  343.93  590.39 506.41   606.88 22 71.7% 76.5% 34.1%  
10/02  209.35  393.8                     88.1%"


This excellent post is by Rock2stocks on the Marketswing.com site (post #640):
marketswing.com
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