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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: stockman_scott who wrote (10051)12/6/2002 12:51:55 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (6) of 89467
 
economists are counting on productivity as saving factor
they will be disappointed
Kudlow is sounding more and more stupid with each passing week
he pounds the table, pronouncing the economic recovery underway, with resilient forces, signaling health
no such thing
he never mentions debt levels
this morning he uttered the same party line again
incomes are rising 0.3% annually, he claims is sign of health
but household debt levels are rising 2-3 times faster

here is why productivity will not save the day:

first because the beneficiary of productivity gains is clearly the consumer
- efficiencies are shared across the board among competitors

secondly because the measured productivity is far less than reported
- USGovt "quality adjustments" are pure horse shit
- they magnify real sales via blatant distortion while economists are asleep or with thumbs up their asses

thirdly because once the productivity juice is squeezed out of the corporate pipelines, all profits will disappear
- with mfg capacity utilization at 75% and falling, most equipment is idle
- translate this figure into 1 in 4 idle factories !!!

ECONOMISTS ARE AN EDEN OF FOOLS

/ jim
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