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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners

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To: fedhead who wrote (15202)12/6/2002 3:32:31 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Read Replies (1) of 57684
 
I think 51 % of investment advisors are bullish , a sentiment seen at tops.

I wonder about these statistics. I'm talking about the entire %bull vs. %bear indicators (with the exception of put/call which really has a finite set of calls vs. puts to report).

There is either 1/3 or 1/2 the former trading volume from the peak 2 years ago. So obviously a lot of people are out of the market. When they count the bulls vs. bears, are they looking at current investors? It doesn't seem like a steady state to me. Someone on another thread told me that 2 weeks ago Investors Intelligence had bears at a 4 year low... LOL talk about lying with statistics, you've got to be kidding but thats the kind of thing these "sentiment indicators" come up with.

Another bogus one is % cash available to equity funds. I would assume this would be at all time lows currently since there are so many redemptions. Looking at % cash available to equity funds as a barometer of how much the mkts can go up seems ridiculous. All the cash is in bonds, money market and possibly home equity (not sure about that though)
Lizzie
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