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Biotech / Medical : Analysts and Calls -- UBS

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To: scaram(o)uche who wrote (9)	12/6/2002 7:17:42 PM
From: Icebrg	Read Replies (1) of 19

>>Gitkin could be right on the ball, for all we know.>> I am not disputing that. Not at all. He might very well be right. But he should not say BUY with a target of 18 one month and then change it to 4-6 the next, when the only fact supporting the change evidently is some anecdotal report from a clinician. As an experienced biotech analyst he should have good enough understanding about how this kind of trial is structured and as an employee at UBS Warburg he should not act as a rumor monger. A little more than a year ago he claimed, that the technology had been validated by Lilly's entering into a cooperation for the very same drug he has now - based on anecdotal reports - declared a failure. I have nothing against analysts who are skeptical with regard to anti-sense (or anything else) until it has been proven that the technology in question works and is approvable. But I don't like this flip-flopping of his. How is he "ever" going to be able to issue a recommendation with a straight face again. His customers should ask: If this is the flip - what will the flop look like? And when will it hit us? Erik

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