Stop stalling on global warming OUR OPINIONS: Monday, December 9, 2002
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A recent decision by President Bush to mount an ambitious scientific study of global warming would be his best environmental policy initiative of the year.
If the year was 1989.
It has been at least that long since scientists earnestly began studying the gradual rise in the Earth's temperature. In that time they've produced overwhelming evidence that human activities such as driving gasoline-powered cars and burning coal for electricity are at least partly to blame.
Concentrations of heat-trapping gases, especially carbon dioxide, have increased by more than a third since the start of the Industrial Revolution. The presence of those gases is expected to double by the end of the century largely because of the voracious energy demands of developing countries.
Left unchecked, the effects could be dire, including severe agricultural disruptions, the rapid decline of snow-dependent water supplies and global die-offs of vulnerable ecosystems such as coral reefs and coastal marshes.
Yet last week, Bush invited hundreds of scientists to Washington to discuss a new administration plan to waste another 10 years studying the problem. The president supposedly wants to improve monitoring of ecosystems and devise more accurate computer models to clarify the extent of the problem. Bush fears that moving too aggressively to arrest the rise in greenhouse gases could harm America's economy.
While information is valuable, this is not an honest effort at scientific inquiry. It's an effort to stall any meaningful action.
If we need more data and better computer models --- and we do --- then let's get them. But in the meantime, Bush should commit himself and this country to a course of action that will stabilize and if possible reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.
Upon taking office, Bush pulled out of the Kyoto treaty, the only international effort to actually address the warming problem. By doing so, he abdicated the responsibility to lead imposed on the United States by its status as the global superpower and the fact that it is the leading emitter of greenhouse gases.
If Bush believes that the Kyoto accords are flawed, fine. But true leadership requires him to propose a bold and timely alternative course of action. "More study" fails that test.
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