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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Moominoid who wrote (26132)12/14/2002 6:29:47 PM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
>>and the curve is steep and the right way around now. But it is low.... << etc

This is no diagnosis, and probably not intended to be one. We're looking at symptoms, like "high temperature, with bouts of shivering and sweating". The diagnosis is:

- excessive credit and ensuing (preceding? does not matter) consumption.

- no real saving, to turn into (net) investment, to turn into new wealth and value.

- so ... every new dollar of US debt is 20c (50c? - guestimates differ, but in any case the number is well below 1) of GDP growth.

Diagnosis is malaria (bad airs).

RegZ

dj
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