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Strategies & Market Trends : Galapagos Islands

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To: GraceZ who wrote (16690)12/15/2002 12:59:16 AM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Read Replies (1) of 57110
 
Based on bullish percentages, I could make a case that the bull market on the NYSE ended in 1998.

I believe you. Money flow showed exactly the same thing, as it now shows the bear is over.


How much history do you have with this indicator... can you say that a 2-year window is fairly consistent, since 98 was the bull peak? (and when in 98- if after LTCM then its only a year early)

We've had a stealth bull market in small growth equities since (I believe) July. I would love to buy beas at 5 and Amazon at 9 and vtss at say, 1 (which is still 40% above the lows for that one).

When we have down days- some of which have been fairly severe I don't get the kind of action in these smaller stocks that tells me new lows are around the corner. Beas have been over 9 for a long time now.... and here I'm waiting for 5. If this is the inverse situation of the 98-00 "stealth bear" (for lack of a better term)... then are we looking at maybe one more year of a bear where some of these don't hit new lows even though the indexes take a beating? When did the money flow indicators turn up btw, October?

I've pretty much given up on amzn in the single digits because we didn't get that in october.
Lizzie
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