SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)
AMAT 259.15+1.1%Dec 22 3:59 PM EST
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Dr. Mitchell R. White who wrote (4548)12/20/2002 4:39:48 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (3) of 25522
 
Perhaps we will peak out when we don't need anymore bandwidth to transmit in real time? What level would that be?

Currently we don't have enough bandwidth to do live video on a 2" cell phone or PC screen over a broadband (cable or dsl) connection without it being very jerky and low quality.

To eliminate meetings in person, we will probably need some sort of "holodeck" configuration that is perhaps 3D with heads-up display unless we go to a "holodeck center" to have a virtual meeting.

From 2" jerky video on my current PC to a holodeck experience, I'd bet we are 5 to 8 generations away - perhaps more... would 2^5 higher pixle's per second transmitted be enough to do a Holodeck? I doubt it.. just to go from 2x2 jerky to 2x2 at high resolution might use 2 or 3 of those doublings. Then we have to get that screen the size of a room... How many 2x2 screens would project onto a hemisphere perhaps 3 meters from your eyes?

Of course, compression will greatly reduce the actual bit rate requirement, but compression is already used for the 2x2 video. Also, compression for one person that can only look at one thing at a time is different than a whole room full of people that can all look at different things at once and can all be doing things themselves...

This might be a good starting place to calculate.

I believe Prof Chemming Hu of UCB calculated IC content would grow for another 20 or 30 yrs until it was 6% of gross World Product then it would become "mature".

Kirk
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News