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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: MSI who wrote (7484)12/20/2002 10:44:30 PM
From: tonyRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
>>Now we need to foretell world events, domestic politics, general economy, personal job prospects... Compared to past years we're making the crystal ball work overtime !

You got that right. I will not buy any hyped RE in CA or other inflated area. Nothing goes up forever.

Let us say
500K property 20% down
400K 30 year @ 6%

Payments
mortgage 2390
Tax & Ins 600
Total 3K/month

Now if we rent @ 2K/month we save 1K/month.

If 500k property does not crash but remains @ 500K for next 8 years.

One has saved 96K. If we buy the same property now we have 100K original + 96K (rental saving) + 40K (interest from the savings (100K + 96k) approximate).

One buys the above property 500K - (100K + 96K + 40K).

Mortgage is for 264K only, very affordable.

FWIW, I will not buy in CA unless I get real deal.
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