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Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing

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To: russwinter who started this subject12/25/2002 6:55:36 PM
From: cayman1   of 39344
 
Message from Jim Sinclair..12/25

Dear Friends:
I do not wish to interfere with your holiday vacations but we need to be vigilant unless gold do it usual perverse thing and sneak out of the station with us asleep.
I will be watching closely and send you a technical review if it is warranted.
Your Watchman,
Jim Sinclair

Heads Up
"Expect the Unexpected"
Use Stop Buy Orders
Christmas to New Years
In Order
To
To Protect Yourself from
Standing at the Station as the Gold Train Pulls Out

This is a short Christmas to New Years message. Gold in the last US session made a second touch on the $348 resistance level. We have new interests in gold as the Chinese have been much larger buyers at the retail level than expected plus the US dollar declined below the important 104 USDX level.

Reports of weak consumer retail buying for the Holidays is not going to make the US economy looks like the engine of economic recovery required to support the dollar and continue the equity rally.

It is therefore possible for gold which should be in reaction for five more trading days to challenge and possibly better the $354.50 level sooner than expected.

I therefore suggest you place "stop buys" in the gold shares which you sold at either of two levels.

1/ At that level where you sold as a "stop buy" to replace the position.
2/ At a new recovery high close as a market order versus that close. That is called a "stop-buy-close-only."

A close of gold above $354.50 will take gold to $372.00

Gold will trade above $400 in 2003, IMO. This is, IMO, a long term bull market in gold which is not a cyclical event but rather a generational event.

Please keep in mind for those interested in trading the general equities on the short side that a close of the Dow Jones Industrial Index below 8350 would finish the rally.
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