The Residential Real Estate Crash Index Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (7651)	12/30/2002 3:53:29 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön	Read Replies (1) of 306849

you made a post like this some time ago, regarding put/call as i recall...my response is that while levels are more bearish compared to the peak of the bubble, they are nowhere near as bearish as they should be when the market finally collapses. the bulls vs bears spread for market strategists continues to remain near all time highs, which is about as contrary an indicator as one can hope to find. as for lying with statistics, if you knew just how badly the S&P 500 earnings are overstated due to lying, i doubt you'd be so bullish... good luck, i think you'll need it as a bull. on any given day or in any given year, the bulls may win in a bear market. the short term is always a crap shoot. however, i doubt they'll win over the next decade without the fundamentals on their side, which they most decidedly are not imo. btw, excellent book i just bought: "Triumph of the Optimists". no kidding, a fantastic book.

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