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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: bobby beara who wrote (15710)1/4/2003 1:44:01 PM
From: High-Tech East  Read Replies (2) of 19219
 
Posted on one of my office walls is a 'yellowed' full page ad I pulled out of Barron's dated August 27, 2001.

In bold print, UBS/PaineWebber declares ...

We believe the fair value of the S&P 500 at the end of 2002 should be 50% above the index's level today. That's what our Financial Advisors are talking about with their clients. Right now.

... wait a minute, let me get my calculator ...

S&P 500 ... August 27,2001 - actual .... 1179.21

S&P 500 ... UBS PaineWebber forecast for December 31, 2002 ... 1768.81

S&P 500 ... December 31, 2002 - actual ... 879.82

..... hmmmmmmmmmmm ... 1768.81 minus 879.82 ... divide by 1768.81 ... equals minus 50.3% ...

... they just missed it a little bit now, didn't they? ...

... I wonder what they are forecasting for the end of 2003 and 2004? ... <g>

Ken Wilson
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