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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (65112)1/9/2003 1:44:36 PM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Thanks for the additional story on the Israeli elections, Nadine. Looks much too volatile right now to say which way things are trending, save Likud is in trouble. I gather the next event that might make a difference is just what Sharon has to say about all this or whether his son resigns.

I guess I'm not terribly surprised, given what you've typed here and the things we've read here, that Likud could lose support quickly. I've felt that the failure of the hardline tactics to reduce suicide bombing would reduce Likud votes sometime. Just hard to tell when.

The thing that surprises me, given, again what you've put here and others, is that Labor has gained as much as this from Likud's losses. If I recall from these readings correctly, Labor had 26 seats. If they are at 24 and climbing now, they could basically stay even. Then I gather it's the business of putting together coalitions that is the next step. And for that it matters which other parties get how much of the vote.
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