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Non-Tech : Auric Goldfinger's Short List

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To: Sir Auric Goldfinger who started this subject1/10/2003 12:30:49 PM
From: StockDung  Read Replies (1) of 19428
 
Gotham Partners Management Co.Issues Research Report On Pre-Paid Legal Services, Inc. -- NYSE: PPD --

Business/Legal Editors

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nov. 22, 2002--Gotham Partners Management Co., LLC ("Gotham"), an investment manager, has released a report on Pre-Paid Legal Services, Inc. ("Pre-Paid" - NYSE: PPD).

Gotham funds believe Pre-Paid is a high-quality business that is extremely undervalued at current market prices. The report, available at www.gothampartners.com, includes a detailed valuation model.

Gotham's report reaches the following conclusions:

-- Pre-Paid offers a valuable service, providing middle-class

Americans with access to professional legal services. The

not-for-profit National Resource Center for Consumers of Legal

Services reports that 154 million Americans are currently

covered by some form of legal service plan. Pre-Paid is a

member in good standing of American Prepaid Legal Services

Institute (APLSI), an affiliate of the American Bar

Association.

-- From December 31, 1998 through September 30, 2002, Pre-Paid's

membership base grew by 130%, from 603,000 to 1,389,000

members.

-- For 2002 and 2003, Pre-Paid's after-tax free cash flow is

projected to be $50 million and $60 million, respectively. At

the current share price of $25, the company's valuation is 9.5

times 2002 cash flow and 7.9 times 2003 cash flow, ignoring

the positive effect of additional share repurchases.

-- Since April 1999, Pre-Paid has aggressively directed its free

cash flow to repurchase and retire its shares, reducing shares

outstanding from 23.6 million in April 1999 to 19 million as

of October 18, 2002.

-- Gotham's valuation model, detailed in its report, concludes

that the business is fairly valued between $32 and $67 per

share. The model, based upon 26 years of historical data,

identifies three components of value:

(1) the existing base of 1.389 million members has an

after-tax present value of $230 million or $12.11 per

share;

(2) the off-balance sheet pre-paid commission asset of $209

million has an after-tax present value of $94.6 million or

$4.98 per share;

(3) the potential to add new members in the future has an

after-tax present value between $294 million and $948

million, or a range of $15-50 per share based on

assumptions on future sales growth that range between a

decline of 2% per year to growth of 8% per year.

-- Pre-Paid is likely the most heavily shorted stock of any U.S.

public company, with 11.5 million shares sold short versus 19

million shares outstanding. This short interest, which has

depressed the share price, facilitates the company's share

repurchase program and exposes the shorts to extreme risks.

-- Gotham rebuts each of the short-sellers' arguments against the

company including allegations of accounting impropriety,

slowing growth, multi-level marketing, poor corporate

governance and litigation.

-- Press coverage of Pre-Paid, much of it inspired by short

sellers, has been unfair, incomplete and lopsided.

Disclaimer: Funds managed by Gotham and its affiliates own shares of Pre-Paid. The report is not intended as investment advice to anyone. Gotham urges anyone interested in Pre-Paid to read the company's SEC filings and to consult whatever other sources they deem appropriate in order to form their own opinions on the topics covered in the report.

--30--bp/ny*

CONTACT: Gotham Partners Management Co, LLC

David P. Berkowitz, 212/286-0300

research@gothampartners.com

KEYWORD: NEW YORK

INDUSTRY KEYWORD: LEGAL/LAW

SOURCE: Gotham Partners Management Co, LLC

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-0- Nov/22/2002 15:58 GMT
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