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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: paul_philp who wrote (65325)1/10/2003 7:06:21 PM
From: tekboy  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
I agree with your "new CEO" analogy; it's basically a combination of the factors I summarized under "Clinton" and "Netanyahu." If I see the first as sort of a purely emotional and psychological phenomenon--the product of believing one's own campaign rhetoric too fully--I do indeed see the second, in your words, as "a valid but incorrect foreign policy." It's basically, "let Likud do what it wants." I'm just not sure, unlike you and Nadine, that it comes from the President himself, who doesn't appear to have given much thought to these kinds of issues at all before taking office.

The third set of factors ("Rove") is clearly important, but hard to evaluate without knowing the most intimate details of the administration's (and President's) decision-making process. In the real world, domestic political considerations obviously play some role in shaping foreign policies, for the saintly Bush as well as the demon Clinton. The question is how much, and here I would submit we just don't know.

The fourth set of factors ("Powell") isn't really important, btw, because even if Powell had sought to push a different line vigorously the other three factors would have been strong enough to make sure he lost the internal arguments.

tb@offtodinner.com
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