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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (15762)	1/11/2003 10:13:02 PM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (3) of 19219

Lizzie, look at the data. We have had fund inflows for years and years. Period. This is without question. People have decided to ride it out. In fact they kept pouring more $ in on the way down. Finally, after all these years, outflows just last year started. Whether or not you think the market goes up or not is a different story. I can give lots of reasons for the market going up or down. The fact is that fund outflows have just started. EVERYONE, and I mean EVERYONE was conditioned to the fact that stocks go up over the long haul and LTBH was correct. Finally they have seen the light. One year of fund outflows does not and can not make up for 15 years of inflows. The public is selling rallies now. Or not contributing to the market. Going to bonds. paying off debts (or trying to). That is the trend. After one year of outflows and 15 years of inflows that is a significant change. That change is not going to reverse overnight, regardless of how low the market gets, or how much it rallies. That is a belief and I can not prove that last sentence, but.... fund outflows just starting is not a debatable point IMO. M

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