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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (65532)	1/12/2003 4:19:21 AM
From: tekboy	Read Replies (3) of 281500

I pretty much agree, although three and four are not necessarily close and four is at least as likely to screw things up further as it is to improve them. Certainly the best we can hope for is a post-Iraq push by the US that takes advantage of somewhat more favorable circumstances to get things moving in a positive direction, a la Madrid. What I worry about, however, is that hardliners in Israel and here really do think that the status quo is freezable indefinitely, and have no intention of ever granting the Pals anything more than a subordinate, unsatisfying, deeply circumscribed autonomy. I think they really believe that the settlements can and should stay, that the Pals can and will be beaten into submission, and that Israel won't in the end have to accept something like the Clinton plan. I think, in other words, that the hardliners still really see this as a zero-sum game, and worry that they will take Pal war-weariness as an excuse to increase their demands rather than an opportunity to move forward somehow. I hope I'm wrong. tb@we'llsee.com

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