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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: tekboy who wrote (65543)	1/12/2003 12:45:25 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) of 281500

What I worry about, however, is that hardliners in Israel and here really do think that the status quo is freezable indefinitely, and have no intention of ever granting the Pals anything more than a subordinate, unsatisfying, deeply circumscribed autonomy. I think they really believe that the settlements can and should stay, that the Pals can and will be beaten into submission, and that Israel won't in the end have to accept something like the Clinton plan. It remains to be seen if the Israeli hard-liners think as you describe (Sharon has said not, but he has not had to prove any of it yet). What is clear - this was one point that Ari Shavit made the other night - is that the majority of the Israeli voters no longer think this way, and they will change in a flash towards any government that they think is spurning a real chance at peace. IMO the Israelis do want peace badly, so the situation is prone to psychological tipping points. All a Palestinian leader (obviously it's not going to be Arafat) has to do is offer to give his speech to Knesset in Arabic (so the Palestinians as well as the Israelis hear it), and it will be a whole new ballgame.

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