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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: JRI who wrote (63261)1/13/2003 12:32:20 PM
From: John Madarasz   of 209892
 
For the fwiw folder...

The AAII Bearish Consensus came in at 43% this past week,...and 38% the week before that.

Readings above 40% have normally led to a higher S&P500 over the next four weeks.

Prior to 2002, this signal was highly accurate, with 33 winners out of 40 trades going back to 1987.

***During 2002, however, there were five such signals, four of which produced losing trades.
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