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Strategies & Market Trends : Moufassa's Lair

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To: moufassa7 who wrote (11457)1/14/2003 6:27:59 PM
From: DlphcOracl  Read Replies (1) of 13660
 
moufassa7: This can all be summed up in one word:

"Seasonality". The market simply wants to move higher (although not MUCH higher, imo) and the news and earnings reports are being spun to do so or the reports are simply ignored. You are correct -- the Intel report and earnings are very mediocre and in the LONG term portend further declines in the markets. However, in the ST it really doesn't matter that much. Imagine if this conference call had come out in July 2002 -- what do you think the market response next day would be?

My guess is that the market works its way higher in a "2-step forward, 1-step back" fashion for most of this month and through most of the earnings with Nasdaq perhaps reaching 1550 or 1600 if sanity is temporarily suspended. In February, reality will once again rear its ugly head and bad news will once again be bad news.
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