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Strategies & Market Trends : Shorts waiting to happen
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To: dppl who wrote (298)7/21/1996 8:08:00 PM
From: Cadaver   of 852
 
SHVA: Possible scenarios are: (a) It begins it's drop to 54 by Tuesday and (b) Institutions prop it up to low/mid 70's.

(b) has a higher probability (SHVA is owned 54% by instituitions.)

In case of (a) SHVA might not fall below 60 for all we know.

(b) If a stock falls, big players usually take the stock higher before dumping (see ASND) They can afford to do it. Small investors cant. Think like the instituitions. What would you do if you controlled a few billion dollars?

So waiting till it goes to low/mid 70's before buying puts might be a good idea. Buying puts now has a lower reward/risk ratio.

MSFT: This is for buying puts, not for shorting. The present rally is too much, too fast, and weakening. Expect testing of 110 again.

Monday should be interesting.

Cadaver
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